The odds are certainly some of the best we can hope for:
Higher political engagement in general from Millennials and Gen Z than in the past.
It’s a general election, so higher voter turnout in general.
Trump has been banging the drum of fascism (or at least authoritarianism), so people will turn out just to vote against him.
Republicans have been glibly attacking women’s reproductive rights and medical procedures like IVF. Both issues will increase turnout.
They showed their ass when they acquitted Paxton.
He’s not running against someone like Beto. He’s running against a former football player, and if there’s one thing Texans love, it’s football. Cruz is already unpopular by virtue of being himself.
All those Conservative folks moving from California to Texas are moving to Florida, now.