I’m no expert but it’s really baffling to me that anyone thinks he can win. He lost the last election and he hasn’t gained popularity since then. If anything he has lost support. Sure, he will always have the Maga cult’s support but unless Biden really fucks up, which he hasn’t, then I see the same outcome.
There is no way for them to explain what he did that was good. They say that the economy was good but it was already good when he was sworn in.
I always point out that he had a very specific policy to take away children from people seeking asylum in the US and making sure to lose the paperwork so that those children never find their parents and ICE workers can freely abuse them.